We had done all our calculations, taken into account all the weather forecasts, planned for contingencies, and we were ready to go. Friday morning we would wake at 3:30 am, and sail south on a nice 11-14 knot northwesterly breeze. At least that’s what the weatherman predicted the day before.
In the night, we woke to a decent swell entering the anchorage from the north, odd in that it had been glassy calm for two days prior. We should have known, but we left anyway, sticking to the game plan. As soon as we rounded the point that protected Cala Puertecito en Medio, we were greeted by a strong norther blow of 20 knots and 5 foot seas. We carried on. And we actually carried on northward, since we had to get five miles offshore to clear some reefs before turning south.
After pounding into the seas for two hours under motor, and seeing gusts of 30 knots and very large waves, we decided it would be prudent to tuck tail and run for shelter at the northern anchorage of Bahia Alacran, nine miles away, instead of turning south and heading for our destination of Bahia San Francisquito some 40 miles away. Our reasoning was twofold. First, a strong norther was projected to blow on Saturday, so we could be fairly certain that Friday’s weather would continue throughout the day, and perhaps strengthen. And second, our intended path would have carried us through the Salsipuedes Channel, in English that
means “Leave If You Can.” This channel is renowned for strong current and the waves can grow quite large when built up by strong sustained winds. We wanted to pick our weather window carefully for this one.
It was another good reminder that we can make a perfect plan based on weather predictions, but at the end of the day, they are indeed only predictions, not facts. It was hard for either of us to make the decision to turn around, and head back the way we came from, but given the situation, it was the only wise option we had. The rest of the afternoon brought a mix of 20 knot southerly gusts and 20 knot northerly gusts, so we do feel we made the right decision. It would have been a very squirrely and confused day on the water.
Luckily, we have no place to be and no schedule to keep, so we’ll just hang out up north for another week or so, resupply on diesel and some groceries, and try it again when the sea is feeling a bit more mellow.
*Email followers will have to take a peek at the website to view additional photos and maps*
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Are you guys hooked up with southbound_group@yahoogroups.com. They seem to cover Baha and Mexico and have at times lots of good info about how to get good wx info and lots of cruiser info.
Mike, just along for the ride. The adventure looks like a lot of fun.
Mi ke,
Yes, we’ve found the south bound group to be really helpful. What a great resource. Thanks!
Hey kids, I swiped this from Seraffyn ala http://www.landlpardey.com/ I’m not sure if the weather patterns are the same but this was what they used for summer in the Sea Of Cortez. “watch your barometer” if it stays above 30 you will probably get northerly winds. If it goes to 29.5, expect winds from the south. When it drops to 29 start looking for a good Chubasco safe anchorage, and if it goes to 28.8 get into that anchorage quick and put down an extra anchor. Now for the fun part, I challenge you guys to sail anchor up to anchor down with no engine 🙂
Alan, thanks for that barometer tidbit. I’ve Wooten it down in our weather log and will be sure to check its predictions over the next few Weeks. Very cool. We haven’t yet sailed anchor up to down yet this trip, but many times one way or the other. Hopefully from this point onward we will be going with the flow…sailing downwind to make this more easily doable!
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